Antigua Inland Erosion Hazard Map

For a more detailed view, click on the map image (medium resolution). This map is also available as a high-resolution image (Note: file size is very large: 2,840k)


Map Text

How the map was produced

  1. Simple empirical models were used to produce hazard scores for each land unit, defined by geology, soil and other environmental "elements". The models integrate the estimated effects of the "elements," which cause or influence the hazard and produce a score. The score is an estimate of the relative likelihood of the hazard at the land unit, but it has no physical meaning, like ‘days per year’ or ‘tons per acre’, etc.
  2. To make the scores useable, they were classified. For each individual hazard estimate, the scores have been divided into 5 equal area classes, using the frequency distribution of the scores. Since the distribution of these hazard scores is usually "L-shaped" rather than uniform or "normal", the range of values in each class group is not uniform, (eg: 0-3; 3-17; 17- 62; etc).
  3. If we try to combine the effect of different types of hazard we are faced with the problem of adding apples and pears, and we have no common element like calorific value to use. Adding scores for land units would produce some odd results, but adding classes reduces this problem, rather like standardising data. Composite maps for combined hazards were produced by adding classes and then reclassifying.

The Models

Sheetwash and Rilling Hazard = K . R . S1.55 . LU

where K = soil erodibility, R is a rainfall erosivity factor, S is the tangent of the slope angle in degrees and LU is a factor indicating effect of land use

Gullying Hazard = (Rill Hazard) . (gullying susceptibility of soil - rock combination)

where the gullying susceptibility is 0 or 1 depending on depth and compactness of the materials

Wind erosion hazard rating = I x DRY

where: I = T + St + Pt + Ps (and T = soil texture; St = stony surface; Pt = ped type; Ps = ped strength) and DRY = Number of months with less than 2.4 inches rain, using long term averages.

Landslide hazard = (Soil-rock combination susceptibility) . (Slope factor) . (Land use factor)

where: Soil types are classified as: 0, unlikely to slide; 1, slide, given an underlying slip plane; 2, susceptible of internal slips

Rock types are classified as: 0, unsupportive of landslides; 1, supportive of soil above sliding, rock falls; 2, likely to slide with soil.

These factors multiplied together produce a combined susceptibility score of 1,2 or 4

Slope factor is related to the tangent of the slope angle, and doubled for angles above 30 degrees, reflecting the approach to the angle of repose of loose materials,

Rainfall factor: no critical threshold is evident so the factor was omitted.

Land Use factor: an estimated generalised figure for the effect of vegetation and other land uses relative to bare land. The effect of road cutting is however excluded.

Data used, other than field observation

Hill, I. D. Soil and land use surveys No. 19a, Antigua* UWI, St Augustine, 1966

Martin-Kaye, P. H. A. Reports on the geology of the Leeward and British Virgin Islands* Leeward Islands Gov’t. , 1959

Government of Antigua and Barbuda Topographic map 1: 50 000, E803, 1984

Defining land-based erosion hazard for development sites

Erosion hazards are most commonly defined in relation to open land either under agricultural use or intended for an agricultural use. The application to development sites where some kind of construction is intended is related to localised incidents rather than a general picture. This emphasises the need for data at a more appropriate scale, not available at present, but more importantly the need for field examination of sites after using this map for an initial classification, especially where comparisons need to be made.

Sheet and rill erosion are generally of little importance at a building development site. Gullying be dangerous particularly where the site lies in the path of a gully working back inland from a stream or ghaut (eroding head wards). The problem of deposition of materials from sheet and rill erosion is of low impact. Some inconvenience from which but little possibility of damage. That from gullies can be a nuisance. Overall, rill and sheet erosion should be given little importance in assessing possible impacts on building development sites, while gullying is important.

Natural evolution of stream courses means that bank erosion is inevitable without canalisation of the stream. High likelihood of bank erosion is related to increases in rainfall, changes in the rapidity of runoff, and the conformation of the stream course. Increased runoff can be predicted reasonably accurately in relation to land use changes. The erosion of stream banks and deposition of materials carried by the streams should only affect a small area adjacent to the existing stream course, but there could be instances where a new course is cut, replacing the lowest parts of a stream course. This particular effect is possible in the Antigua lowlands . Data was not available in an adequate form for making an estimate for Antigua and awaits a topographic map at about 1: 20 000 scale. Overall the stream bank erosion / stream adjustment effect could be important for development sites.

Wind erosion, although it can cause problems in certain circumstances, is unlikely to affect a building site seriously at the levels at which it is probable in the present circumstances.

Mass movement, on the other hand, both the site from which the movement takes place and the destination of material, can produce major difficulties for building development. At present the most obvious danger in Antigua and Barbuda comes from coastal cliffs in limestone, and some inland limestone cliffs, also from volcanic in the southwest or west of Antigua.

Consequently the chosen mapping combines gullying and mass movement (landslides and rock falls) and, where possible, an indicator of the probability of stream bank erosion. This is done by adding together the land unit by land unit values for gullying and mass movement.

How to use the map

  1. The maps are composed of overlays of up to six different maps. In some cases the origin of the base on to which the thematic material– the modelling data– was recorded is not known and the fit between maps is only fairly good. When you have located your approximate position on a topographic map you can find the corresponding position by measurement on the maps. Unless you are very close to a boundary this will give you a good indication of the hazard. However, because some aspects of the hazard are impossible to model at this scale you should look to see whether you are at the foot of a slope. If it is a long slope you should add one class to the hazard you see.
  2. This map will give you a good indication for most initial planning purposes, for selection of suitable sites for some purposes etc. When you have chosen an area, examination of the differences between specific sites may necessitate observing the factors in the model and comparing scores.
  3. In general the level of erosion hazard is not high, especially under a dense vegetative cover, but where road cuts and other excavations have been made it will be higher than the indicated figure.

Geo reference data – Antigua base map

Projection Transverse Mercator
Datum USNHO Astro 1943
Delta WGS84 -270 13 62
Spheroid Clarke 1880
Major semi-axis 6378249
Minor semi-axis 6356515
Unit of Measurement metre
Meridian of origin 62 degrees West of Greenwich
Latitude of origin Equator
Scale factor at origin 0.9995
False Coordinates of origin 400 000 m Easting 0 m Northing


USAID/OAS Post-Georges Disaster Mitigation: http://www.oas.org/pgdm

Page last updated on 22 Jun 2001