|
Location |
Maximum Likely Seismic Intensity |
Conditional Probabilitya/ |
|||||
|
1989-1994 |
1989-1999 |
1989-2009 |
|||||
|
COLOMBIA |
|||||||
|
|
Department |
||||||
|
|
|
Cauca |
X |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
|
|
|
|
Choco |
IX |
? |
? |
? |
|
|
|
|
Nariño |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
North |
X |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
|
|
|
|
South |
X |
8 |
19 |
6 |
|
|
|
Valle |
IX |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
|
|
CHILE |
|||||||
|
|
Province |
||||||
|
|
Aconcagua |
X |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
||
|
|
Aisén |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
VI |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
|
|
|
|
South |
VI |
? |
? |
? |
|
|
|
Antofagasta |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
VIII |
(10) |
(20) |
(39) |
|
|
|
|
South |
VIII |
£1 |
£1 |
15 |
|
|
|
Arauco |
VIII |
1 |
3 |
12 |
||
|
|
Atacama |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
IX |
£1 |
£1 |
15 |
|
|
|
|
South |
IX |
2 |
4 |
10 |
|
|
|
Cautín |
VIII |
1 |
3 |
12 |
||
|
|
Chiloé |
VIII |
|
|
|
||
|
|
Colchagua |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
VIII |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
|
|
|
|
South |
VIII |
17 |
33 |
59 |
|
|
|
Concepción |
IX |
1 |
3 |
12 |
||
|
|
Coquimbo |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
IX |
2 |
4 |
10 |
|
|
|
|
South |
IX |
11 |
24 |
49 |
|
|
|
Curicó |
VIII |
£17 |
£33 |
£59 |
||
|
|
Llanquihue |
VIII |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
||
|
|
Magallanes |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
VII |
? |
? |
? |
|
|
|
|
South |
VII |
4 |
11 |
29 |
|
|
|
Maule |
IX |
1 |
3 |
12 |
||
|
|
Ñuble |
IX |
1 |
3 |
12 |
||
|
|
Osorno |
VIII |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
||
|
|
Santiago |
IX |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
||
|
|
Talca |
IX |
1 |
3 |
12 |
||
|
|
Tarapacá |
IX |
10 |
20 |
39 |
||
|
|
Valdivia |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
VIII |
1 |
3 |
2 |
|
|
|
|
South |
VIII |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
|
|
|
Valparaíso |
X |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
||
|
ECUADOR |
|||||||
|
|
Province |
||||||
|
|
El Oro |
VIII |
? |
? |
? |
||
|
|
Esmeraldas |
X |
(41) |
(66) |
(90) |
||
|
|
Guayas |
IX |
? |
? |
? |
||
|
|
Manabí |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
IX |
(41) |
(66) |
(90) |
|
|
|
|
South |
IX |
? |
? |
? |
|
|
PERU |
|||||||
|
|
Department |
||||||
|
|
Ancash |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
IX |
? |
? |
? |
|
|
|
|
South |
IX |
£1-3 |
£1-8 |
1-24 |
|
|
|
Arequipa |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
X |
(£1) |
(£1) |
(£1) |
|
|
|
|
Central |
X |
6 |
13 |
29 |
|
|
|
|
South |
X |
(£1-12) |
(£1-23) |
(£1-43) |
|
|
|
Ica |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
IX |
(14) |
(27) |
(47) |
|
|
|
|
South |
IX |
(£1) |
(£1) |
(£1) |
|
|
|
La Libertad |
IX |
? |
? |
? |
||
|
|
Lambayeque |
VIII |
? |
? |
? |
||
|
|
Lima |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
IX |
£1-3 |
£1-8 |
1-24 |
|
|
|
|
South |
IX |
£1 |
£1 |
£1 |
|
|
|
Moquegua |
IX |
(£1-12) |
(£1-23) |
(£1-43) |
||
|
|
Piura |
VIII |
? |
? |
? |
||
|
|
Tacna |
|
|
|
|
||
|
|
|
North |
IX |
(£1-12) |
(£1-23) |
(£1-43) |
|
|
|
|
South |
IX |
4 |
11 |
29 |
|
|
|
Tumbes |
IX |
? |
? |
? |
||
a/ Conditional probability refers to earthquakes caused by inter-plate movement.
? No information available
( ) Values in parenthesis represent less reliable estimates.Source: Adapted from Regional Seismological Center for South America (CERESIS). Maximum Intensity Map of South America. (Santiago, Chile: CERESIS, 1985); and Nishenko, S.P. Summary of Circum-Pacific Probability Estimates (unpublished table). (Golden, Colorado: U.S. Geological Survey, 1989).
